Those in the baby business should definitely take note of China’s family planning. According to the National Bureau of Statistics predictions, China will experience a massive population boom from 2005 through 2020, with the country’s birth rate peaking in 2016.
Even more significantly, many Chinese families will target 2012 as the year to have a child, as it’s the year of the dragon. This icon symbolizes power and wealth, and 5% more babies are born under the dragon than are born with any other symbol.
As Jessie Guo, Jefferies Group Inc.’s Hong Kong-based head for consumer research in Asia, recently said, “The baby boom is a good investment idea in the near term. The growth is likely to sustain for the next two to three years.”
Michele Mak, a consumer-sector analyst at BNP Paribas chimed in and said, “The dragon year baby boom is almost a sure thing, which will boost the demand for infant products such as baby formula, diapers and clothes.”
Many people still believe that China has a strict one-child policy; that policy from 1979 has been modified to accommodate for China’s aging labor force. Couples who are both only children are now being allowed to have two kids of their own; and rural couples whose first child is a girl older than four are also allowed to have another child.
With the rise in income, this is set to create a niche market for baby-food and baby-care products that many would be smart to be part of.